Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Neuven Stadium, Radcliffe, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Merthyr Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town?
Merthyr Town starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,887 vs 1,756).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Radcliffe
Not enough data to predict the Radcliffe lineup.
Merthyr Town
Not enough data to predict the Merthyr Town lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radcliffe have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Merthyr Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marine(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Chester(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Radcliffe win, 0 draws, 1 Merthyr Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Radcliffe 1-3 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Merthyr Town 0-5 Radcliffe | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Radcliffe score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radcliffe | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radcliffe sit 24th in National League - North (6 points from 10 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 13th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Radcliffe.
- Where and when is Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town played?
- Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Neuven Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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