Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Neuven Stadium, Radcliffe, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town?
Merthyr Town starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radcliffe have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Merthyr Town have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Radcliffe win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Merthyr Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Radcliffe 1-3 Merthyr Town | National League - North |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Merthyr Town 0-5 Radcliffe | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Radcliffe score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Merthyr Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radcliffe | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Merthyr Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radcliffe sit 21st in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Merthyr Town sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Merthyr Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town?
- The Footlab model makes Merthyr Town the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Radcliffe.
- Where and when is Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town played?
- Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Neuven Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026MorecambevsScarborough Athletic
- Oct 31, 2026ChestervsHednesford Town
- Oct 31, 2026SouthportvsAFC Telford United
- Oct 31, 2026Oxford CityvsSouth Shields
- Oct 31, 2026HerefordvsKing's Lynn Town
- Oct 31, 2026Spennymoor TownvsChorley
- Oct 31, 2026Worksop TownvsBrackley Town
- Oct 31, 2026Bedford TownvsMacclesfield