Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Slask Wroclaw. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw?
Lech Poznan starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (2,141 vs 1,962).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznan have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Slask Wroclaw have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 7-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(away) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 3-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | KI Klaksvik(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lech Poznan win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Slask Wroclaw win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Slask Wroclaw 3-1 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Lech Poznan 1-0 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Lech Poznan 0-0 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Slask Wroclaw 3-1 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Lech Poznan | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 19, 2022 | Lech Poznan 1-3 Slask Wroclaw | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Lech Poznan on Mar 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznan score 2.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznan | 2.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Slask Wroclaw | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznan sit 4th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 3 matches) and Slask Wroclaw sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznan the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Slask Wroclaw.
- Where and when is Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw played?
- Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 3, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsJagiellonia
- Apr 3, 2027Wisla PlockvsWieczysta Kraków
- Apr 3, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsCracovia Krakow
- Apr 3, 2027Korona KielcevsPogon Szczecin
- Apr 3, 2027GKS KatowicevsRaków Częstochowa
- Apr 3, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsPiast Gliwice
- Apr 3, 2027Motor LublinvsRadomiak Radom