Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,934) and Radomiak Radom (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 0-5 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AEL(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(home) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Motor Lublin win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Radomiak Radom win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Motor Lublin 2-2 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| May 24, 2025 | Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Motor Lublin 1-0 Radomiak Radom | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 12, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor Lublin | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Radomiak Radom 2-1 Motor Lublin | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Radomiak Radom | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Radomiak Radom sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom?
- The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Radomiak Radom.
- Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom played?
- Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Wisla KrakowvsLegia Warszawa
- Apr 3, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsJagiellonia
- Apr 3, 2027Wisla PlockvsWieczysta Kraków
- Apr 3, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsCracovia Krakow
- Apr 3, 2027Korona KielcevsPogon Szczecin
- Apr 3, 2027Lech PoznanvsSlask Wroclaw
- Apr 3, 2027GKS KatowicevsRaków Częstochowa
- Apr 3, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsPiast Gliwice