Match

Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor LublinRadomiak Radom

The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Radomiak Radom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,934) and Radomiak Radom (1,900).

Motor Lublin win53 %
Draw24 %
Radomiak Radom win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Radomiak Radom have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motor Lublin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026GKS Katowice(home)1-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)2-2Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Zaglebie Lubin(home)0-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 14, 2026Legia Warszawa(away)0-5Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026AEL(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Gornik Zabrze(home)1-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026GKS Katowice(away)1-3Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Motor Lublin win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Radomiak Radom win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Sep 29, 2025Motor Lublin 2-2 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
May 24, 2025Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Dec 2, 2024Motor Lublin 1-0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Jul 12, 2024Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor LublinFriendlies Clubs
Feb 2, 2024Radomiak Radom 2-1 Motor LublinFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Radomiak Radom score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin1.41.639/158/15
Radomiak Radom1.22.0311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Radomiak Radom sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Motor Lublin5122685
16Radomiak Radom51134124

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom?
The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Radomiak Radom.
Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom played?
Motor Lublin vs Radomiak Radom is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Motor Lublin and Radomiak Radom

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