Rayo Majadahonda vs Atlético Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Atlético Madrid II?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Rayo Majadahonda (1,984) and Atlético Madrid II (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Majadahonda have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Atlético Madrid II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 30, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Rayo Majadahonda win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atlético Madrid II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2021 | Atlético Madrid II 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda | Primera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 Atlético Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Atlético Madrid II 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 Atlético Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Madrid II vs Rayo Majadahonda on Mar 7, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Majadahonda score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Madrid II score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda | 1.6 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético Madrid II | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atlético Madrid II | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 67 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Majadahonda vs Atlético Madrid II?
- The Footlab model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Atlético Madrid II.
- Where and when is Rayo Majadahonda vs Atlético Madrid II played?
- Rayo Majadahonda vs Atlético Madrid II is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.