Huesca vs Zaragoza: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Alcoraz, Huesca
The Footlab model makes Huesca the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Zaragoza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huesca vs Zaragoza?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Huesca (1,878) and Zaragoza (1,856).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huesca have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zaragoza have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Barbastro(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tardienta(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Huesca win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Zaragoza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Huesca 1-0 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Zaragoza 1-0 Huesca | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Huesca 1-1 Zaragoza | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Zaragoza 1-1 Huesca | Segunda División |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Huesca 1-1 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Huesca 1-2 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Huesca score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zaragoza score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Zaragoza | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huesca vs Zaragoza?
- The Footlab model makes Huesca the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Zaragoza.
- Where and when is Huesca vs Zaragoza played?
- Huesca vs Zaragoza is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Alcoraz, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.