Match

Real Murcia vs Hércules: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia

Real MurciaHércules

The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Hércules. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Murcia vs Hércules?

On Elo ratings, Real Murcia has 1,977 points and Hércules 1,900.

60%25%15%
Real Murcia winDrawHércules win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Murcia vs Hércules

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Murcia

4-3-3
  1. 19Joel Jorquera
  2. 23D. Flakus Bosilj
  3. 17Javi Moreno
  1. 8Javi Mier
  2. 14Palmberg
  3. 10Chema Núñez
  1. 2Jorge Mier
  2. 15Óscar Gil
  3. 3Cristo
  4. 4H. Perez
  1. 13Dani Jiménez

Hércules

4-3-3
  1. 20Andy
  2. 22Víctor Narro
  3. 11A. Jimenez
  1. 18Alejandro Fidalgo
  2. 37M. Puch-Herrantz
  3. 14N. Ben Hamed
  1. 23Javi Jiménez
  2. 2Samu Vázquez
  3. 4Javier Rentero
  4. 15Yago Cantero
  1. 13A. Blazic

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:35 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Murcia have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hércules have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Murcia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Zaragoza(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 11, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 7, 2026FC Cartagena(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Gimnastic(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 30, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Copa Federacion
Hércules
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Algeciras(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 12, 2026Sant Andreu(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 3, 2026Real Jaén(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 26, 2026Águilas(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 20, 2026Juventud Torremolinos(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Murcia wins, 1 draw, 3 Hércules wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 29, 2026Hércules 1-2 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 15, 2026Hércules 2-0 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Jan 11, 2026Real Murcia 1-1 HérculesPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Jan 18, 2025Real Murcia 1-0 HérculesPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 21, 2024Hércules 2-0 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Aug 17, 2024Hércules 2-1 Real MurciaFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Hércules vs Real Murcia on Aug 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Murcia1.71.148/159/15
Hércules0.90.865/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Murcia sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (16 points from 8 matches) and Hércules sit 8th (13 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Real Murcia851211716
8Hércules84136713

A question about Real Murcia vs Hércules?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Murcia vs Hércules?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Hércules.
Where and when is Real Murcia vs Hércules played?
Real Murcia vs Hércules is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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