Real Jaén vs Teruel: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, Jaén
The Footlab AI model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Teruel. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Jaén vs Teruel?
Real Jaén starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,983 vs 1,837).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Jaén vs Teruel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 9Marco Siverio
- 19M. Keita
- 8Antonio Caballero
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 10Paz Adri
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 3D. Serrano
- 4J. Pol
- 24Alejandro Cea
- 1J. Morillas
Teruel
4-3-3- 11Edu Gallardo
- 21Mario Sesè
- 7Sergio Moreno
- 14Relu
- 16Haritz Albisua
- 10Hugo Redón
- 3Joserra
- 15A. Lopez
- 2Andrés Borge
- 6N. Nicholas
- 25A. Zarco
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Jaén have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Teruel have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Real Jaén win, 0 draws, 0 Teruel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Teruel 0-1 Real Jaén | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Jaén score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Teruel score 0.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Jaén | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Teruel | 0.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Jaén sit 7th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 7 matches) and Teruel sit 18th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Jaén | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 18 | Teruel | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Real Jaén vs Teruel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Jaén vs Teruel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Jaén the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Teruel.
- Where and when is Real Jaén vs Teruel played?
- Real Jaén vs Teruel is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio La Victoria, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.