Alcorcon vs Real Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 30Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Real Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcorcon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Real Madrid II?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Alcorcon (1,937) and Real Madrid II (1,967).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcorcon vs Real Madrid II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Real Madrid II
4-3-3- 7Daniel Yañez
- 10Pol Fortuny
- 19A. Carvajal
- 16Sergio Martínez
- 6J. Cestero Sancho
- 24Thiago Pitarch
- 2Jesús Fortea
- 3Diego Aguado
- 21O. Naasei
- 5J. Martinez
- 1Sergio Mestre
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Real Madrid II have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sant Andreu(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alcorcon wins, 2 draws, 1 Real Madrid II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II 1-2 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Real Madrid II 1-1 Alcorcon | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Real Madrid II 2-1 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Alcorcon 2-1 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Real Madrid II 1-1 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Alcorcon 4-1 Real Madrid II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid II score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Madrid II | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcorcon sit 5th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (13 points from 8 matches) and Real Madrid II sit 13th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alcorcon | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Madrid II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Alcorcon vs Real Madrid II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs Real Madrid II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Real Madrid II.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs Real Madrid II played?
- Alcorcon vs Real Madrid II is played on March 28, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.