Rayo Majadahonda vs Hércules: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 · Matchday 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Hércules. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rayo Majadahonda wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Majadahonda vs Hércules?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Rayo Majadahonda (1,892) and Hércules (1,867).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rayo Majadahonda vs Hércules
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rayo Majadahonda
4-5-1- 19M. Gonzaga
- 18Tarsi
- 6David del Pozo
- 14Y. Yoshimura
- 15N. Celorio
- 22Rubén Quintanilla
- 4Dani Ramos
- 5D. Gallardo
- 20Sotillos
- 23Juan Durán
- 13Miguel Prieto
Hércules
4-3-3- 20Andy
- 17Antoñín Cortés
- 22Víctor Narro
- 18Alejandro Fidalgo
- 37M. Puch-Herrantz
- 14N. Ben Hamed
- 23Javi Jiménez
- 2Samu Vázquez
- 4Javier Rentero
- 5Rubén Cantero
- 13A. Blazic
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 09:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Majadahonda have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Hércules have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Rayo Majadahonda wins, 0 draws, 1 Hércules win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hércules 2-0 Rayo Majadahonda | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Hércules vs Rayo Majadahonda on Nov 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Majadahonda score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Majadahonda | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Hércules | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rayo Majadahonda sit 19th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 11 matches) and Hércules sit 7th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hércules | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 17 |
| 19 | Rayo Majadahonda | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Rayo Majadahonda vs Hércules?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Majadahonda vs Hércules?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rayo Majadahonda the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Hércules.
- Where and when is Rayo Majadahonda vs Hércules played?
- Rayo Majadahonda vs Hércules is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Miniestadio Cerro del Espino, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.