Match

Algeciras vs Ibiza: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 32Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras

AlgecirasIbiza

The Footlab AI model makes Algeciras the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Ibiza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Algeciras wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algeciras vs Ibiza?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Algeciras (1,894) and Ibiza (1,954).

37%29%34%
Algeciras winDrawIbiza win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Algeciras vs Ibiza

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Algeciras

4-3-3
  1. 18Pau Martínez
  2. 9R. Rubio
  3. 7Juanma García
  1. 20Jony Álamo
  2. 6Óscar Castro
  3. 8Iván Turrillo
  1. 11Tomás Sánchez
  2. 3J. Marquez
  3. 2Fran Carmona
  4. 5Ángel
  1. 1Iván Moreno

Ibiza

4-3-3
  1. 9Manu Justo
  2. 10Ander Yoldi
  3. 21José Carlos Lazo
  1. 17T. Valls
  2. 6Josep Calavera
  3. 20Pedro Ortiz
  1. 18David Astals
  2. 3Víctor García
  3. 4J. Blasco
  4. 24Erik Ruiz
  1. 1Andrés Prieto

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeciras have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ibiza have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algeciras
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Hércules(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 11, 2026Europa Fc(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 26, 2026Juventud Torremolinos(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 20, 2026Águilas(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Ibiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Águilas(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 9, 2026Real Madrid II(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Villarreal II(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 25, 2026Zaragoza(home)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 19, 2026Real Jaén(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Algeciras win, 4 draws, 1 Ibiza win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Algeciras 0-0 IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 30, 2025Ibiza 3-0 AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 16, 2025Algeciras 0-0 IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 15, 2024Ibiza 0-1 AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 10, 2024Ibiza 2-2 AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 10, 2023Algeciras 0-0 IbizaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Algeciras vs Ibiza on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Algeciras score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ibiza score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Algeciras1.31.459/157/15
Ibiza1.81.168/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Algeciras sit 13th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (10 points from 8 matches) and Ibiza sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Ibiza8413111013
13Algeciras8314111310

A question about Algeciras vs Ibiza?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algeciras vs Ibiza?
The Footlab AI model makes Algeciras the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Ibiza.
Where and when is Algeciras vs Ibiza played?
Algeciras vs Ibiza is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Algeciras and Ibiza

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