Rayo Vallecano II vs Parla Escuela: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Rayo Vallecano II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Parla Escuela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Parla Escuela?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano II (1,714) and Parla Escuela (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Parla Escuela have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2024 | Valencia(home) | 0-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Sonseca(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
How many goals should we expect?
Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Parla Escuela score 0.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Parla Escuela | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0/2 | 0/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Parla Escuela?
- The Footlab model makes Rayo Vallecano II the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Parla Escuela.
- Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Parla Escuela played?
- Rayo Vallecano II vs Parla Escuela is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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