Where and when is RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg played?

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

SC Freiburg

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate RB Leipzig (2,211) and SC Freiburg (2,195).

RB Leipzig win49 %

Draw23 %

SC Freiburg win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; SC Freiburg have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 RB Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 SC Freiburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	SC Freiburg 4-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Jan 14, 2026	RB Leipzig 2-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Mar 8, 2025	SC Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Oct 26, 2024	RB Leipzig 3-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Apr 6, 2024	SC Freiburg 1-4 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Nov 12, 2023	RB Leipzig 3-1 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 3rd in Bundesliga (65 points from 34 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 7th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg?: The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for SC Freiburg.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg played?: RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.