Match

RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB LeipzigSC Freiburg

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate RB Leipzig (2,218) and SC Freiburg (2,239).

45%24%31%
RB Leipzig winDrawSC Freiburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

SC Freiburg

4-2-3-1
  1. 31I. Matanović
  1. 8M. Eggestein
  2. 14Y. Suzuki
  3. 19J. Beste
  4. 16Y. Engelhardt
  5. 7D. Scherhant
  1. 28M. Ginter
  2. 33J. Makengo
  3. 3P. Lienhart
  4. 29P. Treu
  1. 1M. Backhaus

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:38 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; SC Freiburg have 13, 1 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026FK Jablonec(home)3-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Oct 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026FC Luzern(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)5-0Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 RB Leipzig wins, 1 draw, 1 SC Freiburg win.

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026SC Freiburg 4-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Jan 14, 2026RB Leipzig 2-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Mar 8, 2025SC Freiburg 0-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Oct 26, 2024RB Leipzig 3-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Apr 6, 2024SC Freiburg 1-4 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Nov 12, 2023RB Leipzig 3-1 SC FreiburgBundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 3.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15
SC Freiburg3.01.1410/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 5th in Bundesliga (9 points from 5 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1SC Freiburg541014413
5RB Leipzig53021559

A question about RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for SC Freiburg.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg played?
RB Leipzig vs SC Freiburg is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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