Match

1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 HoffenheimRB Leipzig

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-1. If RB Leipzig wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,219 vs 2,118).

34%24%42%
1899 Hoffenheim winDrawRB Leipzig win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

1899 Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
  1. 19T. Lemperle
  1. 7L. Avdullahu
  2. 18W. Burger
  3. 14A. Daghim
  4. 20B. Conté
  5. 10A. Hložek
  1. 34V. Coufal
  2. 5O. Kabak
  3. 28K. Machida
  4. 13Bernardo
  1. 1O. Baumann

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:28 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; RB Leipzig have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Hamburger SV(home)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 17, 2026OFI(away)0-2UEFA Europa League
Sep 12, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)2-3Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1899 Hoffenheim wins, 1 draw, 3 RB Leipzig wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 20, 2026RB Leipzig 5-0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Nov 8, 20251899 Hoffenheim 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Apr 5, 2025RB Leipzig 3-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Nov 23, 20241899 Hoffenheim 4-3 RB LeipzigBundesliga
May 3, 20241899 Hoffenheim 1-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Dec 16, 2023RB Leipzig 3-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim1.91.848/1513/15
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1899 Hoffenheim sit 17th in Bundesliga (3 points from 5 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5RB Leipzig53021559
171899 Hoffenheim51049133

A question about 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig played?
1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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