Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig played?

1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 Hoffenheim

RB Leipzig

The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for RB Leipzig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate 1899 Hoffenheim (2,163) and RB Leipzig (2,211).

1899 Hoffenheim win42 %

Draw24 %

RB Leipzig win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; RB Leipzig have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 1899 Hoffenheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 RB Leipzig win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 20, 2026	RB Leipzig 5-0 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Apr 5, 2025	RB Leipzig 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2024	1899 Hoffenheim 4-3 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
May 3, 2024	1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Dec 16, 2023	RB Leipzig 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	1.9	4	8/15	13/15
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th in Bundesliga (61 points from 34 matches) and RB Leipzig sit 3rd (65 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig?: The Footlab model makes 1899 Hoffenheim the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for RB Leipzig.
Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig played?: 1899 Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.