Halcones Negros vs Real Apodaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 10Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Real Apodaca. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halcones Negros vs Real Apodaca?
On Elo ratings, Halcones Negros has 1,869 points and Real Apodaca 1,902.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Halcones Negros vs Real Apodaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Halcones Negros
Not enough data to predict the Halcones Negros lineup.
Real Apodaca
Not enough data to predict the Real Apodaca lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Halcones Negros have 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Real Apodaca have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Refineros(away) | 3-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ciervos(away) | 5-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(home) | 7-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(home) | 3-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Acatlan(away) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Halcones Negros score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 7; Real Apodaca score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halcones Negros | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 3/7 | 6/7 |
| Real Apodaca | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halcones Negros sit 3rd in Liga Premier Serie A (14 points from 7 matches) and Real Apodaca sit 9th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 6 | 14 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Halcones Negros vs Real Apodaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halcones Negros vs Real Apodaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Halcones Negros the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Real Apodaca.
- Where and when is Halcones Negros vs Real Apodaca played?
- Halcones Negros vs Real Apodaca is played on November 3, 2026 at 02:05 AM (UTC), in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Guerreros del PacificovsHéroes de Zaci
- Oct 31, 2026Cañoneros MarinavsAcatlan
- Oct 31, 2026CiervosvsFC Santiago
- Oct 31, 2026Real RefinerosvsGuerreros
- Oct 31, 2026Artesanos MetepecvsAtlético Saltillo
- Nov 1, 2026Calor de San PedrovsCorrecaminos UAT II
- Nov 1, 2026Dragones de OaxacavsMineros de Fresnillo
- Nov 1, 2026Delfines CoatzacoalcosvsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez