Real Avilés vs Arenas Getxo: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés
The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,874 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Avilés vs Arenas Getxo?
On Elo ratings, Real Avilés has 1,915 points and Arenas Getxo 1,855.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Avilés vs Arenas Getxo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Avilés
4-3-3- 14Berto Cayarga
- 8B. Abelenda
- 19N. Poquet
- 7Cris Montes
- 9Álvaro Santamaría
- 5Samuel
- 20O. Carracedo
- 21Jon Sillero
- 23A. Lopez
- 15Eric Pérez
- 1Álvaro Ratón
Arenas Getxo
4-3-3- 9José Luis Cortés
- 23Álex Oyón
- 14E. Redondo
- 16Gael Akogo Esono
- 21I. Telletxea
- 6I. Garcia
- 3A. Lekuna
- 18Rubi
- 2J. Larrauri
- 15B. Arratibel
- 1Manuel Obón
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 12:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Arenas Getxo have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Logroñés(home) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lugo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barakaldo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Athletic Club II(home) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Avilés wins, 1 draw, 1 Arenas Getxo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Arenas Getxo 3-2 Real Avilés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Real Avilés 0-0 Arenas Getxo | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs Real Avilés on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Avilés score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Getxo score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Avilés | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Arenas Getxo | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Avilés sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 9 matches) and Arenas Getxo sit 20th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Real Avilés | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 11 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 5 |
A question about Real Avilés vs Arenas Getxo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs Arenas Getxo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Avilés the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Arenas Getxo.
- Where and when is Real Avilés vs Arenas Getxo played?
- Real Avilés vs Arenas Getxo is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.