Racing Ferrol vs UD Ourense: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol
The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for UD Ourense. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Ferrol vs UD Ourense?
On Elo ratings, Racing Ferrol has 1,906 points and UD Ourense 1,944.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Racing Ferrol vs UD Ourense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Racing Ferrol
4-3-3- 10Dani Ojeda
- 9Unai Ropero
- 18E. Eto'o Pineda
- 6Fabio González
- 14Jesús Bernal
- 16Raúl Blanco
- 2Migue Leal
- 17Álvaro Ramón
- 4Germán Novoa
- 5Eric Monjonell
- 1Lucas Díaz
UD Ourense
4-3-3- 10David Ferreiro
- 17Xabi Dominguez
- 11Sergi Baldrich
- 14R. Martinez
- 22D. Tejon
- 16Álvaro Bastida
- 4J. Labrada
- 3Julio Cabrera
- 5L. Fernandez
- 2Varo
- 1Manuel Vizoso
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; UD Ourense have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Avilés(away) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barakaldo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Ferrol score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; UD Ourense score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Ferrol | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| UD Ourense | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Ferrol sit 3rd in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 8 matches) and UD Ourense sit 19th (5 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Racing Ferrol | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 5 |
A question about Racing Ferrol vs UD Ourense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs UD Ourense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Racing Ferrol the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for UD Ourense.
- Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs UD Ourense played?
- Racing Ferrol vs UD Ourense is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.