Match

Lugo vs Zamora: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo

LugoZamora

The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Zamora. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lugo vs Zamora?

On Elo ratings, Lugo has 1,970 points and Zamora 1,984.

54%27%19%
Lugo winDrawZamora win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lugo vs Zamora

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lugo

4-3-3
  1. 17Chiqui
  2. 11M. Dauda
  3. 16A. Palma
  1. 20A. Ulloa
  2. 15P. Parrilla
  3. 6Kevin Presa
  1. 5Pol Moreno
  2. 19R. Lucero
  3. 4Ibaider Garriz
  4. 3Pere Haro
  1. 1Marc Martínez

Zamora

4-3-3
  1. 7Javier Carbonell
  2. 20I. Incera
  3. 19Pau Mascaró
  1. 10Carlos Ramos
  2. 21A. Hidalgo
  3. 11J. Sancho
  1. 5Aleix Gorjón
  2. 18Iago Indias
  3. 3Luismi Luengo
  4. 23Eudald Vergés
  1. 1Iker Piedra

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:03 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Zamora have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lugo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026UD Logroñés(home)3-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Zamora(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026CD Coria(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Mirandes(away)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026CD Coria(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 26, 2026Extremadura 1924(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2026Lugo(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 13, 2026Arenas Getxo(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Lugo wins, 0 draws, 3 Zamora wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 20, 2026Zamora 1-2 LugoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026Lugo 1-3 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 14, 2025Zamora 1-0 LugoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2025Lugo 2-0 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 22, 2024Zamora 2-0 LugoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Zamora vs Lugo on Sep 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lugo score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lugo1.30.876/157/15
Zamora1.11.157/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lugo sit 1st in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (19 points from 7 matches) and Zamora sit 7th (11 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Lugo761012419
7Zamora73229711

A question about Lugo vs Zamora?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lugo vs Zamora?
The Footlab AI model makes Lugo the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Zamora.
Where and when is Lugo vs Zamora played?
Lugo vs Zamora is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anxo Carro, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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