Cacereño vs Pontevedra: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Príncipe Felipe, Cáceres
The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cacereño. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cacereño vs Pontevedra?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Cacereño (1,923) and Pontevedra (1,988).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cacereño have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Pontevedra have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gévora(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Villanovense(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Coruxo(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ourense CF(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arosa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cacereño win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Pontevedra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Cacereño 1-0 Pontevedra | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Pontevedra 1-1 Cacereño | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Cacereño vs Pontevedra on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cacereño score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cacereño | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Pontevedra | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cacereño sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (44 points from 38 matches) and Pontevedra sit 6th (58 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49 | 31 | 58 |
| 15 | Cacereño | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42 | 49 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cacereño vs Pontevedra?
- The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Cacereño.
- Where and when is Cacereño vs Pontevedra played?
- Cacereño vs Pontevedra is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Príncipe Felipe, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.