Match

Unionistas de Salamanca vs Real Avilés: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 24Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Futbol Reina Sofía, Salamanca

Unionistas de SalamancaReal Avilés

The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unionistas de Salamanca vs Real Avilés?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Unionistas de Salamanca (1,936) and Real Avilés (1,870).

Unionistas de Salamanca win51 %
Draw24 %
Real Avilés win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unionistas de Salamanca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Real Avilés have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unionistas de Salamanca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Cacereño(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 18, 2026Alcorcon(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 11, 2026CD Coria(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Real Ávila(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Real Avilés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Sporting Gijón II(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Mosconia(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Racing Santander II(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Cultural Leonesa(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Unionistas de Salamanca win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Real Avilés win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Real Avilés 1-1 Unionistas de SalamancaPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 21, 2025Unionistas de Salamanca 3-2 Real AvilésPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Real Avilés vs Unionistas de Salamanca on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unionistas de Salamanca score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unionistas de Salamanca1.21.047/154/15
Real Avilés1.51.5212/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unionistas de Salamanca sit 8th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (56 points from 38 matches) and Real Avilés sit 14th (44 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Unionistas de Salamanca38151112534956
14Real Avilés38111116556744

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unionistas de Salamanca vs Real Avilés?
The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Real Avilés.
Where and when is Unionistas de Salamanca vs Real Avilés played?
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Real Avilés is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Futbol Reina Sofía, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Unionistas de Salamanca and Real Avilés

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