Real Bedford vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)McMullen Park, Cardington, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Bury Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,958 vs 1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Bedford have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hertford Town(home) | 11-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Real Bedford win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bury Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Bury Town 0-1 Real Bedford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Real Bedford 2-0 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Real Bedford on Nov 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Bedford | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Bedford sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Bedford vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Bury Town.
- Where and when is Real Bedford vs Bury Town played?
- Real Bedford vs Bury Town is played on October 20, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at McMullen Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Oct 20, 2026Hitchin TownvsStamford
- Oct 20, 2026StourbridgevsAnstey Nomads
- Oct 20, 2026AlvechurchvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Oct 20, 2026Banbury UnitedvsLeighton Town
- Oct 20, 2026Needham MarketvsBishop's Stortford
- Oct 20, 2026Rushall OlympicvsLeamington
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