Real Bedford vs Stamford: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 29Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)McMullen Park, Cardington, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Stamford. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Bedford vs Stamford?
Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Bedford have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Stamford have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hertford Town(home) | 11-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worcester City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Harborough Town(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Real Bedford win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Stamford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Real Bedford 3-0 Stamford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Stamford 1-3 Real Bedford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Real Bedford 3-1 Stamford | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Real Bedford vs Stamford on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stamford score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Bedford | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Stamford | 1.0 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Bedford sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Stamford sit 22nd (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 22 | Stamford | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Bedford vs Stamford?
- The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 9% for Stamford.
- Where and when is Real Bedford vs Stamford played?
- Real Bedford vs Stamford is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at McMullen Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Hitchin TownvsHalesowen Town
- Jan 23, 2027StourbridgevsBury Town
- Jan 23, 2027AlvechurchvsPeterborough Sports
- Jan 23, 2027Banbury UnitedvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Jan 23, 2027Needham MarketvsLeamington
- Jan 23, 2027Redditch UnitedvsAnstey Nomads
- Jan 23, 2027Rushall OlympicvsLeighton Town
- Jan 23, 2027Stratford TownvsLeiston