Real Oviedo II vs Ourense CF: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Requexón, Oviedo
The Footlab model makes Real Oviedo II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ourense CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Oviedo II vs Ourense CF?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Real Oviedo II (1,946) and Ourense CF (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Oviedo II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ourense CF have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | CF Talavera(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Real Oviedo II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ourense CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Ourense CF 2-0 Real Oviedo II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Real Oviedo II 0-0 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Ourense CF 1-2 Real Oviedo II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Real Oviedo II 0-2 Ourense CF | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Ourense CF vs Real Oviedo II on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Oviedo II score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ourense CF score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oviedo II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ourense CF | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Oviedo II | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50 | 35 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Oviedo II vs Ourense CF?
- The Footlab model makes Real Oviedo II the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ourense CF.
- Where and when is Real Oviedo II vs Ourense CF played?
- Real Oviedo II vs Ourense CF is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Requexón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.