Real Madrid III vs Gimnástica Torrelavega: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Real Madrid III. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gimnástica Torrelavega wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,336 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid III vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Real Madrid III (1,835) and Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,880).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Madrid III vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Madrid III
Not enough data to predict the Real Madrid III lineup.
Gimnástica Torrelavega
4-3-3- 11D. Salas
- 23S. Pedraja
- 9M. Sazatornil
- 6A. Gomez
- 10S. Garcia
- 17M. Gonzalez
- 5M. Gandara
- 2A. Santamaria
- 15J. Gouveia
- 22B. Ademán
- 1D. Sotres
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 06:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid III have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Gimnástica Torrelavega have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Conquense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 3-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ourense CF(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid III score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Torrelavega score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid III | 0.7 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Gimnástica Torrelavega | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Real Madrid III vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid III vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Real Madrid III.
- Where and when is Real Madrid III vs Gimnástica Torrelavega played?
- Real Madrid III vs Gimnástica Torrelavega is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Real Madrid Campo 3, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.