Deportivo Alavés II vs Amorebieta: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva José Luis Compañón, Vitoria-Gasteiz
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Alavés II the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Amorebieta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Alavés II vs Amorebieta?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Deportivo Alavés II (1,992) and Amorebieta (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Alavés II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Amorebieta have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Athletic Club II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Unión(away) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Gernika(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Deportivo Alavés II win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Amorebieta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II 1-2 Amorebieta | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Amorebieta 0-0 Deportivo Alavés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Amorebieta 3-2 Deportivo Alavés II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Deportivo Alavés II 0-0 Amorebieta | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Amorebieta 1-1 Deportivo Alavés II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Alavés II vs Amorebieta on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Alavés II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Amorebieta score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Amorebieta | 1.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Alavés II vs Amorebieta?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Alavés II the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Amorebieta.
- Where and when is Deportivo Alavés II vs Amorebieta played?
- Deportivo Alavés II vs Amorebieta is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva José Luis Compañón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.