Match

Coruxo vs Basconia: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Vao, Vigo

CoruxoBasconia

The Footlab model makes Coruxo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Basconia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Coruxo vs Basconia?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Coruxo (1,897) and Basconia (1,962).

Coruxo win37 %
Draw28 %
Basconia win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coruxo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Basconia have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Coruxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Pontevedra(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Lugo(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Atlético Baleares(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Atlético Baleares(home)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Basconia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Racing Santander II(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Gimnástica Torrelavega(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Ejea(home)5-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026Gernika(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026Sestao River(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Basconia score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Coruxo1.31.4211/1510/15
Basconia2.31.359/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Coruxo3415712463752

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Coruxo vs Basconia?
The Footlab model makes Coruxo the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Basconia.
Where and when is Coruxo vs Basconia played?
Coruxo vs Basconia is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Vao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Coruxo and Basconia

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