Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó: prediction and stats
Primera B MetropolitanaRegular Season - 40Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pilar, Partido de Pilar, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Ituzaingó. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?
Real Pilar starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,543).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Pilar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ituzaingó have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Armenio(away) | 1-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Flandria(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Argentino Quilmes(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Defensores Unidos(home) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 2-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Merlo(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Argentino de Merlo(away) | 1-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Deportivo Camioneros(home) | 0-1 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Talleres Remedios(away) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sportivo Italiano(home) | 0-0 | Primera B Metropolitana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Real Pilar win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Ituzaingó win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Ituzaingó 2-0 Real Pilar | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Ituzaingó 0-0 Real Pilar | Primera C |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Real Pilar 0-0 Ituzaingó | Primera C |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Real Pilar 0-1 Ituzaingó | Primera C |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Ituzaingó 2-1 Real Pilar | Primera C |
| Jan 23, 2021 | Real Pilar 0-0 Ituzaingó | Primera C |
Last archived meeting: Ituzaingó vs Real Pilar on Jun 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Pilar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ituzaingó score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Pilar | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ituzaingó | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Pilar sit 7th in Primera B Metropolitana (31 points from 20 matches) and Ituzaingó sit 22nd (9 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Pilar | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 48 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 36 | 9 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 19 | 47 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó?
- The Footlab model makes Real Pilar the favourite at 61%, against 25% for a draw and 14% for Ituzaingó.
- Where and when is Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó played?
- Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pilar, in the Primera B Metropolitana.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Defensores UnidosvsDeportivo Armenio
- Oct 17, 2026Dock SudvsDeportivo Laferrere
- Oct 17, 2026Deportivo CamionerosvsArgentino de Merlo
- Oct 17, 2026ComunicacionesvsBrown DE Adrogue
- Oct 17, 2026Argentino QuilmesvsFlandria
- Oct 17, 2026Villa San CarlosvsVilla Dalmine
- Oct 17, 2026Deportivo MerlovsTalleres Remedios
- Oct 17, 2026San Martín BurzacovsExcursionistas