Match

Real Sociedad vs Barcelona: prediction and stats

La LigaMatchday 36Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián

Real SociedadBarcelona

The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Real Sociedad. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Barcelona?

Barcelona starts as the favourite with a 281-point Elo edge (2,407 vs 2,126).

18%22%60%
Real Sociedad winDrawBarcelona win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Sociedad vs Barcelona

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Sociedad

4-4-2
  1. 24L. Sučić
  2. 9O. Óskarsson
  1. 7Barrenetxea
  2. 18Carlos Soler
  3. 4Jon Gorrotxategi
  4. 8Beñat Turrientes
  1. 6Jon Martín
  2. 2J. Aramburu
  3. 19M. Sarr
  4. 5Zubeldia
  1. 1Álex Remiro

Barcelona

4-1-4-1
  1. 11Raphinha
  1. 10Lamine Yamal
  2. 8Pedri
  3. 7Fermín
  4. 17A. Gordon
  5. 16Rodri
  1. 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
  2. 2João Cancelo
  3. 18Gerard Martín
  4. 4B. Farinas
  1. 1Joan García

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:58 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Barcelona have 13, 0 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Sociedad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Rayo Vallecano(home)1-0La Liga
Nov 5, 2026Lyon(home)1-1UEFA Europa League
Nov 1, 2026Athletic Club(away)1-2La Liga
Oct 25, 2026Levante(home)2-1La Liga
Oct 22, 2026Lillestrom(away)6-0UEFA Europa League
Barcelona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Atletico Madrid(away)2-1La Liga
Nov 3, 2026Aston Villa(home)3-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 31, 2026Alaves(home)6-1La Liga
Oct 25, 2026Real Madrid(home)1-2La Liga
Oct 20, 2026Paris Saint Germain(away)2-4UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Sociedad wins, 0 draws, 4 Barcelona wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Real Sociedad 2-1 BarcelonaLa Liga
Sep 28, 2025Barcelona 2-1 Real SociedadLa Liga
Mar 2, 2025Barcelona 4-0 Real SociedadLa Liga
Nov 10, 2024Real Sociedad 1-0 BarcelonaLa Liga
May 13, 2024Barcelona 2-0 Real SociedadLa Liga
Nov 4, 2023Real Sociedad 0-1 BarcelonaLa Liga

Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad vs Barcelona on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Sociedad score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barcelona score 3.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Sociedad2.01.5311/1511/15
Barcelona3.81.3411/1514/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Sociedad sit 5th in La Liga (22 points from 12 matches) and Barcelona sit 1st (33 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Barcelona121101481333
5Real Sociedad12714212022

A question about Real Sociedad vs Barcelona?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Barcelona?
The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Real Sociedad.
Where and when is Real Sociedad vs Barcelona played?
Real Sociedad vs Barcelona is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Reale Arena, in the La Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Real Sociedad and Barcelona