Sevilla vs Villarreal: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Villarreal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sevilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla vs Villarreal?
On Elo ratings, Sevilla has 2,050 points and Villarreal 2,150.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sevilla vs Villarreal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sevilla
4-2-3-1- 9R. Ure
- 6L. Agoumé
- 24Y. Fofana
- 20Félix Correia
- 10Peque Fernández
- 11R. Vargas
- 5Andrés Castrín
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Juan Iglesias
- 4Kike Salas
- 1O. Vlachodimos
Villarreal
4-4-2- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 21T. Oluwaseyi
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 11Ilias Akhomach
- 18P. Gueye
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 12Renato Veiga
- 3A. Freeman
- 6Pau Navarro
- 25P. Gulácsi
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Villarreal have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-4 | La Liga |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Levante(away) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elche(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Napoli(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levante(home) | 3-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sevilla win, 1 draw, 4 Villarreal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Villarreal 2-3 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| May 25, 2025 | Villarreal 4-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Sevilla 1-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Villarreal 3-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Sevilla 1-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal vs Sevilla on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla sit 6th in La Liga (14 points from 9 matches) and Villarreal sit 12th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
A question about Sevilla vs Villarreal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Villarreal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Villarreal.
- Where and when is Sevilla vs Villarreal played?
- Sevilla vs Villarreal is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.