Osasuna vs Real Betis: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
The Footlab model makes Osasuna the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Real Betis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osasuna vs Real Betis?
Real Betis starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (2,175 vs 2,053).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osasuna have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Real Betis have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Levante(home) | 0-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Al Ain(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Osasuna win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Real Betis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Osasuna 1-1 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Real Betis 2-0 Osasuna | La Liga |
| May 11, 2025 | Real Betis 1-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Osasuna 1-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Osasuna 0-2 Real Betis | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Real Betis 2-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Osasuna vs Real Betis on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osasuna score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Real Betis score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Real Betis | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osasuna sit 12th in La Liga (1 points from 1 matches) and Real Betis sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Real Betis?
- The Footlab model makes Osasuna the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Real Betis.
- Where and when is Osasuna vs Real Betis played?
- Osasuna vs Real Betis is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Sadar, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.