Real Madrid vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Madrid vs Racing Santander?
Real Madrid is a heavy favourite: 2,365 Elo points against 2,051, a 314-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Madrid vs Racing Santander
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Madrid
4-2-3-1- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 8F. Valverde
- 5J. Bellingham
- 14A. Tchouaméni
- 25Y. Diomande
- 15A. Güler
- 16I. Konaté
- 17Marc Cucurella
- 4D. Huijsen
- 22A. Rüdiger
- 1T. Courtois
Racing Santander
4-2-3-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 18M. Prati
- 8André Almeida
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Racing Santander have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 4-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 4-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Elche(away) | 3-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Osasuna(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Real Madrid wins, 1 draw, 0 Racing Santander wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | Real Madrid 4-0 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Racing Santander 0-0 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Mar 6, 2011 | Racing Santander 1-3 Real Madrid | La Liga |
| Oct 23, 2010 | Real Madrid 6-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Madrid vs Racing Santander on Feb 18, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid sit 4th in La Liga (18 points from 8 matches) and Racing Santander sit 16th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 18 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
A question about Real Madrid vs Racing Santander?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Madrid vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Madrid the favourite at 83%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Real Madrid vs Racing Santander played?
- Real Madrid vs Racing Santander is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.