Where and when is CF Talavera vs Calvo Sotelo played?

CF Talavera vs Calvo Sotelo is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

CF Talavera vs Calvo Sotelo: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Prado, Talavera de la Reina

CF Talavera

Calvo Sotelo

The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Calvo Sotelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Talavera vs Calvo Sotelo?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate CF Talavera (1,898) and Calvo Sotelo (1,938).

CF Talavera win39 %

Draw28 %

Calvo Sotelo win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Talavera have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Calvo Sotelo have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Talavera
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Getafe II(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 14, 2026	Illescas(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Cacereño(away)	2-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Ourense CF(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 10, 2026	Osasuna II(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Calvo Sotelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	La Solana(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 3, 2026	Toledo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 26, 2026	Cazalegas(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 19, 2026	Huracán Balazote(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 12, 2026	Guadalajara II(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

How many goals should we expect?

CF Talavera score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Calvo Sotelo score 1.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
CF Talavera	0.9	0.9	4	9/15	6/15
Calvo Sotelo	1.7	0.6	8	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	CF Talavera	34	19	9	6	50	27	66

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Talavera vs Calvo Sotelo?: The Footlab model makes CF Talavera the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Calvo Sotelo.
Where and when is CF Talavera vs Calvo Sotelo played?: CF Talavera vs Calvo Sotelo is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Prado, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.