Match

SS Reyes vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes

SS ReyesRSD Alcalá

The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SS Reyes vs RSD Alcalá?

SS Reyes starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,988 vs 1,876).

SS Reyes win54 %
Draw26 %
RSD Alcalá win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SS Reyes
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Baleares(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026UD Logroñés(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Logroñés(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Alcoyano(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Alcoyano(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026CD Coria(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Fuenlabrada(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 SS Reyes win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 RSD Alcalá win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026RSD Alcalá 1-1 SS ReyesSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 6, 2025SS Reyes 1-0 RSD AlcaláSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Jan 5, 2025RSD Alcalá 2-3 SS ReyesFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: RSD Alcalá vs SS Reyes on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SS Reyes score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SS Reyes1.30.957/156/15
RSD Alcalá1.50.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SS Reyes sit 2nd in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (70 points from 34 matches) and RSD Alcalá sit 6th (51 points from 34 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SS Reyes342176512770
6RSD Alcalá3414911423951

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SS Reyes vs RSD Alcalá?
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is SS Reyes vs RSD Alcalá played?
SS Reyes vs RSD Alcalá is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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