Remo vs Gremio: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença, Belém, Pará
The Footlab model makes Remo the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Gremio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Remo vs Gremio?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Remo (1,884) and Gremio (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Remo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Santos(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Santos(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Remo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Gremio 0-0 Remo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Remo score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Remo sit 18th in Serie A (23 points from 24 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
| 18 | Remo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Remo vs Gremio?
- The Footlab model makes Remo the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Gremio.
- Where and when is Remo vs Gremio played?
- Remo vs Gremio is played on October 7, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.