Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Arena da Baixada, Curitiba, Paraná
Match in progress
Official lineup for Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG
The starting elevens officially announced for this match.
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1- 9K. Viveros
- 7S. Mendoza
- 18K. Vargas
- 8João Cruz
- 14Luiz Gustavo
- 16Jádson
- 12Gilberto
- 4Arthur Dias
- 37L. Esquivel
- 22C. Terán
- 1Mycael
Known absences
- ClaudinhoOut · Muscle injury
G. BenavídezOut · Muscle injury
J. AguirreOut · Suspended (yellow cards)
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 19Reinier
- 11Bernard
- 7Fred
- 28T. Cuello
- 8Maycon
- 39Mamady Cisse
- 6Renan Lodi
- 13Lyanco
- 40Vitão
- 2Natanael
- 1Gabriel Delfim
Known absences
EversonOut · Foot injury- Gustavo ScarpaOut · Not in squad
- Ruan TressoldiOut · Muscle injury
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Paranaense have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico-MG have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Coritiba(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Santos(home) | 4-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Santos(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico Paranaense win, 1 draw, 4 Atletico-MG wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Atletico-MG 1-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Atletico Paranaense 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| May 23, 2023 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Atletico-MG 2-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Paranaense score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Paranaense sit 3rd in Serie A (49 points from 28 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (43 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 49 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 43 |
A question about Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy