Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori
The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Renofa Yamaguchi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Gainare Tottori (1,694) and Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainare Tottori have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fukushima United(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(home) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 0-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Gainare Tottori win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Gainare Tottori 4-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2/J3 League |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi 0-0 Gainare Tottori | J2/J3 League |
| Jan 22, 2025 | Renofa Yamaguchi 2-3 Gainare Tottori | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gainare Tottori score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainare Tottori | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gainare Tottori sit 10th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gainare Tottori | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
- The Footlab model makes Gainare Tottori the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Renofa Yamaguchi.
- Where and when is Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?
- Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Axis Bird Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.