Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Egao Kenko Stadium, Kumamoto
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Renofa Yamaguchi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Roasso Kumamoto (1,698) and Renofa Yamaguchi (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Roasso Kumamoto have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Renofa Yamaguchi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Roasso Kumamoto win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto | J2/J3 League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2/J3 League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto | J2 League |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2 League |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th in J3 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
- The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Renofa Yamaguchi.
- Where and when is Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi played?
- Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Egao Kenko Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.