Match

Republic of Ireland U17 vs Estonia U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg

Republic of Ireland U17Estonia U17

The Footlab model makes Republic of Ireland U17 the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Estonia U17. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Republic of Ireland U17 vs Estonia U17?

Republic of Ireland U17 starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,594 vs 1,331).

Republic of Ireland U17 win75 %
Draw15 %
Estonia U17 win9 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Republic of Ireland U17 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Estonia U17 have 1, 0 and 14.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Republic of Ireland U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Slovakia U17(away)7-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Croatia U17(home)0-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Poland U17(home)3-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 14, 2026Hungary U17(home)1-2Friendlies
Feb 11, 2026Hungary U17(home)1-0Friendlies
Estonia U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026Belgium U17(away)0-1UEFA U17 Championship
May 28, 2026Croatia U17(home)1-3UEFA U17 Championship
May 25, 2026Spain U17(home)1-4UEFA U17 Championship
Mar 31, 2026England U17(home)0-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Faroe Islands U17(away)1-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

How many goals should we expect?

Republic of Ireland U17 score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia U17 score 0.6 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Republic of Ireland U172.30.886/159/15
Estonia U170.62.716/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Republic of Ireland U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Estonia U17 sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Republic of Ireland U173300709
4Estonia U1730031110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Republic of Ireland U17 vs Estonia U17?
The Footlab model makes Republic of Ireland U17 the favourite at 75%, against 15% for a draw and 9% for Estonia U17.
Where and when is Republic of Ireland U17 vs Estonia U17 played?
Republic of Ireland U17 vs Estonia U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sarpsborg Stadion, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Republic of Ireland U17 and Estonia U17

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