Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
The Footlab model makes Republic of Ireland U17 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Wales U17. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17?
Republic of Ireland U17 starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,594 vs 1,493).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Republic of Ireland U17 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Wales U17 have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Slovakia U17(away) | 7-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Croatia U17(home) | 0-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Poland U17(home) | 3-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Hungary U17(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Hungary U17(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Georgia U17(away) | 2-2 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 13, 2026 | San Marino U17(home) | 0-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Andorra U17(home) | 0-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Liechtenstein U17(away) | 11-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Portugal U17(away) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Republic of Ireland U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Wales U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2023 | Republic of Ireland U17 3-0 Wales U17 | UEFA U17 Championship |
Last archived meeting: Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17 on May 20, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Republic of Ireland U17 score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Wales U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republic of Ireland U17 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Wales U17 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Republic of Ireland U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Wales U17 sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Republic of Ireland U17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | Wales U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17?
- The Footlab model makes Republic of Ireland U17 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Wales U17.
- Where and when is Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17 played?
- Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sarpsborg Stadion, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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