Match

Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg

Republic of Ireland U17Wales U17

The Footlab model makes Republic of Ireland U17 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Wales U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17?

Republic of Ireland U17 starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,594 vs 1,493).

Republic of Ireland U17 win57 %
Draw21 %
Wales U17 win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Republic of Ireland U17 have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Wales U17 have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Republic of Ireland U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 31, 2026Slovakia U17(away)7-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026Croatia U17(home)0-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026Poland U17(home)3-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 14, 2026Hungary U17(home)1-2Friendlies
Feb 11, 2026Hungary U17(home)1-0Friendlies
Wales U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 16, 2026Georgia U17(away)2-2UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 13, 2026San Marino U17(home)0-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 10, 2026Andorra U17(home)0-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 18, 2025Liechtenstein U17(away)11-0UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 15, 2025Portugal U17(away)1-1UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Republic of Ireland U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Wales U17 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 20, 2023Republic of Ireland U17 3-0 Wales U17UEFA U17 Championship

Last archived meeting: Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17 on May 20, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Republic of Ireland U17 score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Wales U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Republic of Ireland U172.30.886/159/15
Wales U171.91.547/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Republic of Ireland U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Wales U17 sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Republic of Ireland U173300709
3Wales U1731111334

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17?
The Footlab model makes Republic of Ireland U17 the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Wales U17.
Where and when is Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17 played?
Republic of Ireland U17 vs Wales U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sarpsborg Stadion, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Republic of Ireland U17 and Wales U17

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