Riga FC II vs Rēzekne FA: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga
The Footlab model makes Riga FC II the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Rēzekne FA. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riga FC II vs Rēzekne FA?
Riga FC II starts as the favourite with a 252-point Elo edge (1,407 vs 1,155).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga FC II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Rēzekne FA have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Riga FC II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Rēzekne FA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Rēzekne FA 2-1 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Rēzekne FA 3-2 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Riga FC II 2-3 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Rēzekne FA 1-2 Riga FC II | 1. Liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Riga FC II 6-0 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Riga FC II 9-0 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rēzekne FA vs Riga FC II on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Riga FC II score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rēzekne FA score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga FC II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Rēzekne FA | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riga FC II sit 9th in 1. Liga (10 points from 10 matches) and Rēzekne FA sit 14th (4 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Riga FC II | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 10 |
| 9 | Riga FC II | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 20 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 4 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riga FC II vs Rēzekne FA?
- The Footlab model makes Riga FC II the favourite at 72%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Rēzekne FA.
- Where and when is Riga FC II vs Rēzekne FA played?
- Riga FC II vs Rēzekne FA is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mežaparks Sports Village, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.