Smiltene vs Tukums II: result 3-2 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tepera stadions, Smiltene
Full time
What was the result of Smiltene vs Tukums II?
Smiltene won 3-2 on October 11, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 17′D. RadzenieksTukums II
- 32′V. GaisminsSmiltene
- 37′?Smiltene
- 59′E. SpruktsTukums II
- 90′E. JansonsSmiltene
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Smiltene win at 51%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Smiltene have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Tukums II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Super Nova 2(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 0-6 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 0-5 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 2-6 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Smiltene wins, 1 draw, 3 Tukums II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Tukums II 1-1 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Smiltene 0-3 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| May 24, 2025 | Tukums II 1-2 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Tukums II 1-2 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Smiltene 0-2 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Smiltene 0-3 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Tukums II vs Smiltene on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Smiltene score 1.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tukums II score 1.3 and concede 3.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smiltene | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Tukums II | 1.3 | 3.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Smiltene sit 10th in 1. Liga (20 points from 23 matches) and Tukums II sit 11th (18 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Smiltene | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 61 | 20 |
| 11 | Tukums II | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 63 | 18 |
A question about Smiltene vs Tukums II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy