Skanste vs JDFS Alberts: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hanzas vidusskolas laukums, Riga
The Footlab model makes JDFS Alberts the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Skanste. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skanste vs JDFS Alberts?
JDFS Alberts starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,574 vs 1,393).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skanste have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; JDFS Alberts have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Super Nova 2(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Riga FC II(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Skanste win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 JDFS Alberts win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | JDFS Alberts 4-1 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | JDFS Alberts 2-2 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Skanste 1-2 JDFS Alberts | Cup |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Skanste 1-1 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | JDFS Alberts 0-1 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| May 12, 2024 | Skanste 0-1 JDFS Alberts | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: JDFS Alberts vs Skanste on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Skanste score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; JDFS Alberts score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skanste | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| JDFS Alberts | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skanste sit 8th in 1. Liga (10 points from 9 matches) and JDFS Alberts sit 5th (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 17 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | Skanste | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 8 | Skanste | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 33 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skanste vs JDFS Alberts?
- The Footlab model makes JDFS Alberts the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Skanste.
- Where and when is Skanste vs JDFS Alberts played?
- Skanste vs JDFS Alberts is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hanzas vidusskolas laukums, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.