JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)OC Ventspils rezerves laukums, Ventspils
The Footlab model makes Leevon / PPK the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for JFK Ventspils. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK?
Leevon / PPK starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,495 vs 1,366).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JFK Ventspils have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Leevon / PPK have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Riga Mariners(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 JFK Ventspils win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Leevon / PPK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | JFK Ventspils 1-3 Leevon / PPK | Cup |
| May 23, 2026 | Leevon / PPK 2-1 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Leevon / PPK 3-2 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2025 | JFK Ventspils 0-0 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | JFK Ventspils 4-1 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Leevon / PPK 0-1 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK on Jun 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JFK Ventspils score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Leevon / PPK score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JFK Ventspils | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Leevon / PPK | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JFK Ventspils sit 12th in 1. Liga (6 points from 9 matches) and Leevon / PPK sit 2nd (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leevon / PPK | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 39 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK?
- The Footlab model makes Leevon / PPK the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for JFK Ventspils.
- Where and when is JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK played?
- JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at OC Ventspils rezerves laukums, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.