Riga vs Kairat Almaty: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueLeague Stage - 1Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stadions Skonto, Riga
Full time
What was the result of Riga vs Kairat Almaty?
Riga and Kairat Almaty drew 1-1 on October 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′Marc GualKairat Almaty (pen.)
- 12′S. Oulad M'HandRiga
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Riga win at 52%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Riga vs Kairat Almaty
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Riga
4-2-3-1- 19M. Badamosi
- 7R. Aouani
- 18S. Oulad M'Hand
- 22M. Diop
- 8Iago Siqueira Augusto
- 40A. Ankrah
- 13R. Jurkovskis
- 5K. Wassom
- 21B. Musah
- 23M. Toņiševs
- 12K. Pirić
Kairat Almaty
4-2-3-1- 9Edmilson
- 19O. Jukkola
- 28Marc Gual
- 24A. Mrynskiy
- 13J. Oksanen
- 22Gustavo Mendonça
- 3Luís Mata
- 25A. Shirobokov
- 14A. Martynovich
- 20E. Tapalov
- 1T. Anarbekov
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riga have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Kairat Almaty have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aris(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FS Jelgava(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Super Nova(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Auda(home) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Zhetysu(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | FC Astana(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Zhenys(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Kaspiy(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Riga score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kairat Almaty score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Kairat Almaty | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riga sit 22nd in UEFA Europa Conference League (1 point from 1 match) and Kairat Almaty sit 18th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kairat Almaty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Riga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Riga vs Kairat Almaty?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy