Riltzi vs Aksakovo: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion kv. Riltsi, Dobrich
The Footlab model makes Aksakovo the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Riltzi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riltzi vs Aksakovo?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Riltzi (1,293) and Aksakovo (1,376).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riltzi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Aksakovo have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Devnya 2005(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Volov Shumen(away) | 0-9 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Aksakovo(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Fratria II(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Riltzi(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(home) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Riltzi win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Aksakovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Riltzi 1-1 Aksakovo | Third League - Northeast |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Aksakovo 2-0 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Riltzi 2-2 Aksakovo | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Aksakovo 4-3 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Riltzi score 1.0 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aksakovo score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riltzi | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Aksakovo | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riltzi sit 13th in Third League - Northeast (0 points from 1 matches) and Aksakovo sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Riltzi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riltzi vs Aksakovo?
- The Footlab model makes Aksakovo the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Riltzi.
- Where and when is Riltzi vs Aksakovo played?
- Riltzi vs Aksakovo is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion kv. Riltsi, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.