Volov Shumen vs Cherno more II: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Panayot Volov, Shumen
The Footlab model makes Volov Shumen the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Cherno more II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volov Shumen vs Cherno more II?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Volov Shumen (1,595) and Cherno more II (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volov Shumen have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Cherno more II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 7-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 9-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ludogorets III(away) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Spartak Varna II(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Volov Shumen win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Cherno more II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | Cherno more II 1-0 Volov Shumen | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Volov Shumen 2-1 Cherno more II | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Volov Shumen 0-1 Cherno more II | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Cherno more II 5-0 Volov Shumen | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Cherno more II vs Volov Shumen on Mar 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Volov Shumen score 3.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cherno more II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volov Shumen | 3.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Cherno more II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volov Shumen sit 8th in Third League - Northeast (1 points from 1 matches) and Cherno more II sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Volov Shumen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Cherno more II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volov Shumen vs Cherno more II?
- The Footlab model makes Volov Shumen the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Cherno more II.
- Where and when is Volov Shumen vs Cherno more II played?
- Volov Shumen vs Cherno more II is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Panayot Volov, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.