Benkovski Isperih vs Chernomorets Balchik: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gradski Stadion Isperih, Isperih
The Footlab model makes Chernomorets Balchik the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Benkovski Isperih. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benkovski Isperih vs Chernomorets Balchik?
Chernomorets Balchik starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,772 vs 1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benkovski Isperih have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Chernomorets Balchik have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(away) | 2-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 4-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Aksakovo(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 4-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Benkovski Isperih win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Chernomorets Balchik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik 3-1 Benkovski Isperih | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Benkovski Isperih 1-0 Chernomorets Balchik | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Benkovski Isperih 0-2 Chernomorets Balchik | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Chernomorets Balchik 0-1 Benkovski Isperih | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Chernomorets Balchik vs Benkovski Isperih on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Benkovski Isperih score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chernomorets Balchik score 2.9 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benkovski Isperih | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Chernomorets Balchik | 2.9 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chernomorets Balchik | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benkovski Isperih vs Chernomorets Balchik?
- The Footlab model makes Chernomorets Balchik the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Benkovski Isperih.
- Where and when is Benkovski Isperih vs Chernomorets Balchik played?
- Benkovski Isperih vs Chernomorets Balchik is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski Stadion Isperih, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.