Devnya 2005 vs Ludogorets III: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets III the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Devnya 2005. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Devnya 2005 vs Ludogorets III?
Ludogorets III is a heavy favourite: 1,724 Elo points against 1,407, a 316-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Devnya 2005 vs Ludogorets III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Devnya 2005
Not enough data to predict the Devnya 2005 lineup.
Ludogorets III
Not enough data to predict the Ludogorets III lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Devnya 2005 have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Ludogorets III have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Septemvri Dragoevo(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 2-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 2-5 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Riltzi(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Devnya 2005 score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 8; Ludogorets III score 3.2 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devnya 2005 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
| Ludogorets III | 3.2 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Devnya 2005 sit 9th in Third League - Northeast (10 points from 8 matches) and Ludogorets III sit 1st (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 19 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Devnya 2005 vs Ludogorets III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Devnya 2005 vs Ludogorets III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ludogorets III the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Devnya 2005.
- Where and when is Devnya 2005 vs Ludogorets III played?
- Devnya 2005 vs Ludogorets III is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.