Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize
The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Rizespor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fenerbahçe wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
Fenerbahçe starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (2,179 vs 1,914).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rizespor
4-1-4-1- 9A. Sowe
- 14T. Antalyalı
- 20Q. Laçi
- 10I. Olawoyin
- 99E. Bulut
- 23A. Kutucu
- 4A. Mocsi
- 54M. Pala
- 93M. Sagnan
- 37T. Şahin
- 75Y. Fofana
Known absences
H. AliqulovOut · Knee injury
Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1- 19V. Muriqi
- 11M. Greenwood
- 91N. Kanté
- 6M. Guendouzi
- 7K. Aktürkoğlu
- 17İ. Kahveci
- 3A. Brown
- 37M. Škriniar
- 15N. Aké
- 27Nélson Semedo
- 31Ederson
Known absences
J. OosterwoldeOut · Achilles injury
M. MüldürOut · Knee injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rizespor have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fenerbahçe have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Eyüpspor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Turan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Eyüpspor(home) | 8-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 10, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Beşiktaş(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Rizespor wins, 1 draw, 5 Fenerbahçe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Fenerbahçe 2-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Rizespor 2-5 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Fenerbahçe 3-2 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Rizespor 0-5 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Rizespor 1-3 Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Fenerbahçe 5-0 Rizespor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Fenerbahçe vs Rizespor on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rizespor score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fenerbahçe score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rizespor | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Fenerbahçe | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rizespor sit 9th in Süper Lig (10 points from 6 matches) and Fenerbahçe sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fenerbahçe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Rizespor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Rizespor.
- Where and when is Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe played?
- Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.