Konyaspor vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Medaş Konya Büyükşehir Stadyumu, Konya
The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Konyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Konyaspor vs Başakşehir?
Başakşehir starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Konyaspor have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Başakşehir have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 2-4 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Al-Dhafra(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Konyaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Başakşehir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Başakşehir 2-0 Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Konyaspor 2-1 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Başakşehir 1-0 Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Konyaspor 3-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Konyaspor 2-3 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Başakşehir 0-1 Konyaspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Başakşehir vs Konyaspor on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Konyaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Konyaspor sit 17th in Süper Lig (0 points from 2 matches) and Başakşehir sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Başakşehir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Konyaspor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Konyaspor vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Konyaspor.
- Where and when is Konyaspor vs Başakşehir played?
- Konyaspor vs Başakşehir is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Medaş Konya Büyükşehir Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.