Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun
The Footlab AI model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Samsunspor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Trabzonspor wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
On Elo ratings, Samsunspor has 1,947 points and Trabzonspor 2,033.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samsunspor
4-3-3- 11E. Kılınç
- 30Saikuba Jarju
- 18M. Bayo
- 5C. Yüksel
- 8S. Onur
- 20Y. Kayan
- 17L. Tómasson
- 2J. Mendes
- 34G. Guarino
- 16S. Eraković
- 1O. Kocuk
Known absences
Afonso SousaOut · Muscle injury
E. TavşanOut · Muscle injury
F. KayaOut · Muscle injury
K. AssoumouOut · Muscle injury
O. ØhlenschlægerOut · Knee injury
Trabzonspor
4-2-3-1- 30P. Onuachu
- 6Fabinho
- 10Mohamed Salah
- 7E. Muçi
- 11O. Tufan
- 57M. Kabasakal
- 15S. Savić
- 19M. Eskihellaç
- 27C. Nwaiwu
- 20Wagner Pina
- 24A. Onana
Known absences
A. BatagovOut · Knee injury
O. YokuşluOut · Knee injury- R. MalinovskyiOut · Knee injury
T. Jabol-FolcarelliOut · Knee injury
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samsunspor have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Trabzonspor have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 1-5 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kocaelispor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(home) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rizespor(away) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Drogheda United(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 0-1 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 5-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Amed(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Samsunspor wins, 3 draws, 1 Trabzonspor win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Samsunspor 0-0 Trabzonspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Trabzonspor 1-1 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| May 25, 2025 | Trabzonspor 2-2 Samsunspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Samsunspor 2-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| May 4, 2024 | Samsunspor 3-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Samsunspor score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Trabzonspor score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Trabzonspor | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samsunspor sit 16th in Süper Lig (4 points from 6 matches) and Trabzonspor sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Samsunspor.
- Where and when is Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor played?
- Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.